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The Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong stocks opened lower by 0.78%, the index of state-owned enterprises fell by 0.88%, and the branch index opened lower by 1.01%.Foreign media: Trump "strongly opposes" Ukraine's use of American-made missiles to attack Russia's hinterland, and at the same time says that he will not give up Ukraine. According to Reuters's report, US President-elect Trump criticized Ukraine's use of American-made missiles to attack targets in Russia on the 12th local time, arguing that this has aggravated the escalation of the war between Russia and Ukraine. However, he also mentioned that he would not give up Ukraine. When talking about the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Trump said in an interview, "What happened is crazy. This is crazy. I strongly object to launching missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing this? This will only escalate this war and make the situation worse. " According to the report, Trump hopes to end this "war" that lasted for nearly three years as soon as possible, but he is more cautious about revealing specific details. When asked if Kiev would cut its military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine if it did not agree to the peace agreement, Trump responded, "I think I have a very good plan to help Ukraine, but when I started to disclose this plan, it would almost become a worthless plan." In addition, when asked if he would give up Ukraine, Trump replied, "I hope to reach an agreement, and the only way to reach an agreement is not to give up." (World Wide Web)Inter-bank cash bonds are strong as a whole, and national debt and CDB active bonds are down by 3-5bp. The 5-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds went down by about 5bp, and "24 Treasury bonds with interest 20" reported 1.42%, which was a record low compared with yield to maturity, a Chinese bond in the same period, and "24 CDB 08" reported 1.515% in the same period, a record low since January 26th, 2006. The 10-year "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" initially declined, and now it remains below 1.8%.

Ministry of National Defense: Sun Tzu's Art of War belongs to both China and the world. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, released a message on the recent military-related issues. Reporter: It is reported that the 10th International Symposium on the Art of War was held in Beijing, which aroused widespread concern at home and abroad. Please tell us more about the situation. Wu Qian: On December 5-6, the 10th International Symposium on Sun Tzu's Art of War was held in Beijing. More than 350 Chinese and foreign experts and scholars from nearly 30 countries conducted in-depth discussions on the theme of "Sun Tzu's Art of War and Mutual Learning of Civilizations" and achieved positive results. Sun Tzu's Art of War is not only China's, but also the world's. It not only shows the mystery of the Art of War, but also embodies the dialectical thought. The ideas contained in it, such as "stopping fighting for military power", helping each other in the same boat, knowing ourselves and preparing for victory, have already surpassed the scope of the country and become the common wealth of human civilization. Since ancient times, knowing soldiers is not bellicose. Studying Sun Tzu's art of war is not to follow the ancient times, but to learn from the present. Today's world should not be an arena where you lose and I win, but a garden where civilizations learn from each other. We are willing to take Sun Tzu's art of war as a bridge, study and discuss the way of peaceful development that transcends barriers through communication, conflicts through mutual learning and superiority through equality, actively practice the concept of community of human destiny, and contribute to the great integration and development of human civilization.Southern Power Grid: In November, the installed capacity of industrial and commercial distributed photovoltaic projects was newly put into operation, with more than 500 MW. Southern Power Grid (003035) said at the institutional investor strategy meeting on December 12 that in 2024, the company will continue to give full play to the advantages of distributed photovoltaic energy-saving track, focusing on key industries with good industry prospects, strong sustainable operation ability and large electricity consumption, and increase development efforts. According to preliminary statistics, from January to November 2024, the installed capacity of industrial and commercial distributed photovoltaic projects was newly put into operation with more than 500 MW.Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.

Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.